Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wellwood 52.3% vs Kesler 55.9% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wellwood 62.7%
Defensive zone
Kesler 86.2%
Neutral zone
Kesler 62.7%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Wellwood
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Wellwood
Kesler
Last 5: Wellwood 3-2 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wellwood
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wellwood
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wellwood
1
0
Wellwood
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wellwood
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (369)
56.4% (8,095)
-5.7%
Power Play
61.4% (88)
60.7% (1,437)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
50.5% (1,908)
-0.5%
On even strength, Kesler has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Wellwood is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Wellwood shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Home / Away
Wellwood
Kesler
Home
54.7% (243)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
50.7% (217)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Wellwood
Kesler
P1
46.2%
56.5%
P2
59.6%
55.9%
P3
51.7%
56.1%
OT
60.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wellwood
54.0%▼
58.0%
52.8%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2011 | 3 | 16:46 | Defensive | Kyle Wellwood |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 3 | 14:36 | Neutral | Kyle Wellwood |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 3 | 05:59 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 2 | 09:04 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 2 | 05:40 | Offensive | Kyle Wellwood |