Scouting Report
Lane Pederson holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Pederson wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pederson 49.0% vs Hartman 45.0% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 56.1%
Defensive zone
Hartman 57.6%
Neutral zone
Hartman 53.7%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Pederson
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Pederson
Hartman
Last 6: Pederson 3-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pederson
2
0
Pederson
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
Pederson
Hartman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pederson
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pederson
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (323)
44.8% (4,023)
+4.1%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
47.1% (412)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
42.5% (261)
+1.9%
On even strength, Pederson has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Pederson is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Pederson shoots right. Hartman is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,276).
Home / Away
Pederson
Hartman
Home
53.1% (145)
46.3% (2,446)
Away
45.6% (206)
43.4% (2,250)
By Period
Pederson
Hartman
P1
49.6%
45.2%
P2
45.8%
43.2%
P3
50.9%
46.2%
Final 5 min
45.9%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pederson
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.7%
Hartman
44.0%▲
41.5%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 09:59 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | Lane Pederson |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 2 | 08:41 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 1 | 08:52 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 2 | 13:01 | Offensive | Lane Pederson |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 1 | 05:30 | Neutral | Lane Pederson |