Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Eller wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.0% vs Jankowski 53.1% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Jankowski 67.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 68.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 51.9%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Eller
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Eller
Jankowski
Last 10: Eller 6-4 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
2
Eller
Jankowski
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Eller
Jankowski
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
3
1
Eller
Jankowski
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (459)
53.7% (555)
+2.3%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
50.0% (14)
+27.8%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (54)
54.3% (46)
-2.4%
On power play, Eller has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Eller shoots left. Jankowski is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Home / Away
Eller
Jankowski
Home
52.6% (215)
53.2% (331)
Away
58.3% (307)
54.2% (284)
By Period
Eller
Jankowski
P1
54.1%
52.7%
P2
57.6%
55.8%
P3
56.2%
52.5%
Final 5 min
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 02:20 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 15:41 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 12:04 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 01:52 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 08:04 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 07:54 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 02:28 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 19:35 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 10:55 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 05:56 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |