Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs Scheifele 48.1% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 89.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 57.6%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 61.3%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Eller
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Eller
Scheifele
Last 10: Eller 4-6 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
3
Eller
Scheifele
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Eller
Scheifele
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
2
Eller
Scheifele
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
47.8% (960)
+6.0%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
47.0% (219)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
60.7% (28)
-8.1%
On power play, Eller has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Eller is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Eller shoots left. Scheifele is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Eller
Scheifele
Home
56.4% (486)
50.7% (611)
Away
51.2% (537)
45.1% (596)
By Period
Eller
Scheifele
P1
55.1%
51.4%
P2
55.3%
47.3%
P3
51.7%
45.0%
OT
27.3%
53.8%
Final 5 min
51.0%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
53.7%
Scheifele
48.0%▲
41.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 13:46 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 01:50 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 12:46 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 01:34 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 19:52 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 17:35 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 19:41 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 08:40 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 04:47 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 1 | 13:29 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |