Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Erat on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Erat 46.8% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Erat 80.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 81.4%
Neutral zone
Erat 50.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Eller
Erat
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Eller
Erat
Last 7: Eller 3-4 Erat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Erat
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Erat
0
2
Eller
Erat
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Erat
1
2
Eller
Erat
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Erat
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,321)
46.7% (321)
+4.4%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
45.5% (101)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (1,759)
41.4% (29)
+5.2%
On power play, Eller has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Erat shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,142).
Eller shoots left. Erat is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Eller
Erat
Home
51.4% (6,122)
53.2% (252)
Away
49.7% (6,607)
37.2% (199)
By Period
Eller
Erat
P1
51.2%
43.4%
P2
50.1%
45.8%
P3
50.2%
50.0%
OT
56.7%
16.7%
Final 5 min
49.7%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Erat
38.0%▼
43.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2014 | 3 | 09:55 | Defensive | Martin Erat |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 3 | 02:48 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 2 | 04:54 | Neutral | Martin Erat |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 2 | 17:51 | Defensive | Martin Erat |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 2 | 14:20 | Neutral | Martin Erat |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 1 | 07:43 | Offensive | Lars Eller |