Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 49.6%). Look for Raffl on neutral-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Raffl 49.7% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Raffl leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Raffl 76.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 69.4%
Neutral zone
Raffl 55.9%
Result
Michael Raffl favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Eller
Raffl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Eller
Raffl
Last 10: Eller 2-8 Raffl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raffl
0
1
Eller
Raffl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Raffl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raffl
1
8
Eller
Raffl
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Raffl
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,321)
49.1% (597)
+2.0%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
48.1% (27)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (1,759)
58.5% (41)
-11.9%
On penalty kill, Raffl has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Raffl shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,142).
Eller shoots left. Raffl is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (438).
Home / Away
Eller
Raffl
Home
51.4% (6,122)
51.1% (305)
Away
49.7% (6,607)
48.3% (360)
By Period
Eller
Raffl
P1
51.2%
51.6%
P2
50.1%
48.4%
P3
50.2%
49.2%
OT
56.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Raffl
56.0%▲
50.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2020 | 3 | 17:04 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 8, 2020 | 3 | 01:29 | Offensive | Michael Raffl |
| Jan 8, 2020 | 2 | 17:59 | Neutral | Michael Raffl |
| Jan 8, 2020 | 2 | 09:28 | Neutral | Michael Raffl |
| Jan 8, 2020 | 2 | 01:04 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 8, 2020 | 1 | 12:34 | Neutral | Michael Raffl |
| Jan 8, 2020 | 1 | 05:19 | Neutral | Michael Raffl |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 2 | 04:15 | Neutral | Michael Raffl |
| Feb 19, 2016 | 2 | 00:42 | Neutral | Michael Raffl |
| Feb 19, 2016 | 2 | 00:28 | Neutral | Michael Raffl |
| Feb 19, 2016 | 1 | 18:01 | Neutral | Michael Raffl |