Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.0% vs Backlund 49.8% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 80.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 50.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 67.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 80.9%
80.9%
19.1%
Eller
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Eller
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (459)
50.5% (944)
+5.5%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
51.5% (66)
+26.3%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (54)
47.1% (297)
+4.8%
On power play, Eller has a +26.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Eller shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Eller
Backlund
Home
52.6% (215)
48.1% (636)
Away
58.3% (307)
51.4% (671)
By Period
Eller
Backlund
P1
54.1%
45.4%
P2
57.6%
54.1%
P3
56.2%
49.2%
Final 5 min
60.0%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 05:20 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 14:38 | Offensive | Lars Eller |