Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Granlund 48.6% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Granlund leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 67.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 60.6%
Neutral zone
Eller 51.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Eller
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
10
(19 meetings)
9
10
Eller
Granlund
Last 10: Eller 3-7 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Granlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
5
3
Eller
Granlund
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
2
6
Eller
Granlund
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,321)
48.6% (6,765)
+2.5%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
53.0% (760)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (1,759)
43.6% (635)
+3.0%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,142).
Eller shoots left. Granlund is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,193).
Home / Away
Eller
Granlund
Home
51.4% (6,122)
51.0% (3,905)
Away
49.7% (6,607)
46.4% (4,255)
By Period
Eller
Granlund
P1
51.2%
48.8%
P2
50.1%
48.7%
P3
50.2%
48.5%
OT
56.7%
43.3%
Final 5 min
49.7%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 16:43 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 14:12 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 03:21 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 00:23 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 2 | 19:13 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 2 | 18:05 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 2 | 09:56 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 1 | 17:43 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 1 | 14:40 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 3 | 03:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 2 | 15:37 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 3, 2014 | 3 | 13:57 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 3, 2014 | 3 | 09:21 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 3, 2014 | 2 | 17:40 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 15:25 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 1 | 14:04 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 1 | 00:01 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 2 | 05:20 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 2 | 00:39 | Offensive | Lars Eller |