Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 50.2%). Look for Maltsev on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Maltsev 50.1% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Maltsev 57.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 68.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 58.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Eller
Maltsev
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Eller
Maltsev
Last 9: Eller 5-4 Maltsev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
1
Eller
Maltsev
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Maltsev
0
3
Eller
Maltsev
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Maltsev
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Maltsev
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,321)
50.6% (259)
+0.5%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
33.3% (3)
+19.5%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (1,759)
0.0% (1)
+46.6%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +46.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Maltsev shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,142).
Eller shoots left. Maltsev is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Home / Away
Eller
Maltsev
Home
51.4% (6,122)
48.9% (141)
Away
49.7% (6,607)
51.6% (122)
By Period
Eller
Maltsev
P1
51.2%
46.7%
P2
50.1%
55.7%
P3
50.2%
48.2%
Final 5 min
49.7%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Maltsev
48.0%▼
53.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 17:39 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 3 | 07:00 | Defensive | Mikhail Maltsev |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 16:34 | Defensive | Mikhail Maltsev |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 06:17 | Defensive | Mikhail Maltsev |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 1 | 16:54 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 3 | 05:34 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 3 | 15:50 | Offensive | Mikhail Maltsev |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 3 | 12:37 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 1 | 11:43 | Offensive | Lars Eller |