Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.0% vs Geekie 47.7% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 81.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 76.2%
Neutral zone
Geekie 55.9%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 81.8%
18.2%
81.8%
Eller
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Eller
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
Eller
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (459)
46.7% (120)
+9.3%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
48.6% (35)
+29.2%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (54)
0.0% (3)
+51.9%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +51.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Eller is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (201).
Eller shoots left. Geekie is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (99).
Home / Away
Eller
Geekie
Home
52.6% (215)
46.8% (77)
Away
58.3% (307)
45.7% (81)
By Period
Eller
Geekie
P1
54.1%
42.4%
P2
57.6%
49.1%
P3
56.2%
47.6%
Final 5 min
60.0%
35.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Geekie
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |