Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.9% vs 55.8%). Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Eller wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.0% vs Hischier 55.4% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 50.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 75.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 61.8%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Eller
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Eller
Hischier
Last 5: Eller 1-4 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
4
Eller
Hischier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Hischier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (459)
55.5% (1,172)
+0.5%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
64.5% (265)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (54)
43.9% (164)
+8.0%
On power play, Eller has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Eller shoots left. Hischier is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,026).
Home / Away
Eller
Hischier
Home
52.6% (215)
56.8% (791)
Away
58.3% (307)
54.8% (810)
By Period
Eller
Hischier
P1
54.1%
56.0%
P2
57.6%
58.6%
P3
56.2%
53.5%
Final 5 min
60.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 16:26 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 12:10 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 03:59 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 11:52 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 16:23 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |