Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Kapanen 48.0% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 63.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 69.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 52.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Eller
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Eller
Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Kapanen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kapanen
0
1
Eller
Kapanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (10,168)
48.1% (495)
+2.9%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
50.0% (48)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,740)
37.5% (32)
+9.2%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Eller is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,547).
Eller shoots left. Kapanen is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Home / Away
Eller
Kapanen
Home
51.4% (6,057)
47.2% (299)
Away
49.7% (6,500)
48.2% (276)
By Period
Eller
Kapanen
P1
51.2%
42.0%
P2
50.0%
51.4%
P3
50.2%
49.2%
OT
56.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
50.5%
Kapanen
58.0%▲
47.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 01:15 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Lars Eller |