Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.0% vs Zacha 51.8% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 57.4%
Defensive zone
Zacha 51.0%
Neutral zone
Zacha 52.3%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Eller
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Eller
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Eller
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (459)
53.0% (700)
+3.0%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
54.1% (109)
+23.7%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (54)
39.2% (74)
+12.7%
On power play, Eller has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Eller shoots left. Zacha is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (520).
Home / Away
Eller
Zacha
Home
52.6% (215)
51.6% (438)
Away
58.3% (307)
52.4% (445)
By Period
Eller
Zacha
P1
54.1%
57.0%
P2
57.6%
48.9%
P3
56.2%
50.5%
Final 5 min
60.0%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 15:07 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 12:33 | Offensive | Lars Eller |