Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.0% vs Krebs 45.4% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 61.5%
Defensive zone
Krebs 63.3%
Neutral zone
Krebs 67.1%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Eller
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Eller
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
2
Eller
Krebs
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Krebs
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (459)
44.4% (403)
+11.6%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
33.3% (6)
+44.5%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (54)
45.0% (20)
+6.9%
On power play, Eller has a +44.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Eller shoots left. Krebs is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Eller
Krebs
Home
52.6% (215)
46.3% (205)
Away
58.3% (307)
42.4% (224)
By Period
Eller
Krebs
P1
54.1%
47.0%
P2
57.6%
45.4%
P3
56.2%
40.7%
Final 5 min
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:54 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:45 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 16:09 | Neutral | Lars Eller |