Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.9% vs 55.0%). Look for Danault on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Eller wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.0% vs Danault 54.5% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 52.9%
Defensive zone
Danault 50.6%
Neutral zone
Danault 52.3%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Eller
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Eller
Danault
Last 9: Eller 4-5 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
3
Eller
Danault
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Danault
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Eller
Danault
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (459)
56.2% (745)
-0.2%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
45.1% (51)
+32.7%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (54)
51.6% (124)
+0.3%
On power play, Eller has a +32.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Eller shoots left. Danault is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Eller
Danault
Home
52.6% (215)
56.7% (402)
Away
58.3% (307)
53.7% (518)
By Period
Eller
Danault
P1
54.1%
55.5%
P2
57.6%
54.2%
P3
56.2%
55.2%
Final 5 min
60.0%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 1 | 05:53 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 01:46 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 18:24 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 17:50 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 03:06 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 19:50 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 08:23 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 07:43 | Offensive | Lars Eller |