Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gardner on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Gardner 47.0% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 57.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 76.5%
Neutral zone
Eller 57.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Eller
Gardner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Eller
Gardner
Last 7: Eller 4-3 Gardner
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Gardner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gardner
2
3
Eller
Gardner
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Gardner
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,321)
44.4% (162)
+6.7%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
100.0% (1)
-47.2%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (1,759)
66.7% (3)
-20.1%
On power play, Gardner has a +47.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gardner shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,142).
Eller shoots left. Gardner is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Eller
Gardner
Home
51.4% (6,122)
45.1% (51)
Away
49.7% (6,607)
45.2% (115)
By Period
Eller
Gardner
P1
51.2%
42.3%
P2
50.1%
52.6%
P3
50.2%
40.4%
Final 5 min
49.7%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Gardner
50.0%▲
45.2%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 12:01 | Neutral | Rhett Gardner |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 08:43 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Rhett Gardner |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 14:27 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 03:55 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Rhett Gardner |