Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 51.2%). Look for Colton on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Colton 51.1% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Colton leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Colton 56.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 63.0%
Neutral zone
Colton 50.3%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Eller
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Eller
Colton
Last 10: Eller 4-6 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
1
2
Eller
Colton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
2
Eller
Colton
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
1
2
Eller
Colton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,321)
51.6% (1,803)
-0.5%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
48.8% (162)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (1,759)
34.5% (29)
+12.1%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,142).
Eller shoots left. Colton is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,297).
Home / Away
Eller
Colton
Home
51.4% (6,122)
52.0% (1,015)
Away
49.7% (6,607)
50.3% (979)
By Period
Eller
Colton
P1
51.2%
53.7%
P2
50.1%
52.6%
P3
50.2%
47.9%
OT
56.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Colton
46.0%▲
44.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 01:14 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 01:21 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 18:56 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 10:35 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 18:15 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 3 | 11:38 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 3 | 01:14 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 2 | 11:12 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 2 | 03:48 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 09:00 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 15:03 | Defensive | Lars Eller |