Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs Gagner 47.5% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 53.9%
Defensive zone
Gagner 54.8%
Neutral zone
Gagner 53.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Eller
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Eller
Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Eller
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
51.3% (158)
-0.2%
Power Play
45.0% (80)
66.7% (36)
-21.7%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (165)
33.6% (110)
+10.0%
On power play, Gagner has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Eller is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Eller shoots left. Gagner is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Eller
Gagner
Home
51.2% (510)
53.2% (154)
Away
47.8% (521)
40.0% (150)
By Period
Eller
Gagner
P1
50.7%
35.6%
P2
49.0%
52.7%
P3
48.3%
51.9%
OT
56.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
34.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 17:26 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |