Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.9% vs 55.5%). Eller wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.0% vs Crosby 55.1% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 74.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 76.0%
Neutral zone
Crosby 50.9%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Eller
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Eller
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Eller
Crosby
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (459)
53.3% (1,025)
+2.7%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
64.7% (249)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (54)
60.0% (15)
-8.1%
On power play, Eller has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Eller shoots left. Crosby is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (914).
Home / Away
Eller
Crosby
Home
52.6% (215)
56.9% (675)
Away
58.3% (307)
54.1% (614)
By Period
Eller
Crosby
P1
54.1%
55.1%
P2
57.6%
53.1%
P3
56.2%
58.5%
Final 5 min
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 12:12 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 07:18 | Defensive | Lars Eller |