Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Kero 46.5% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 56.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 77.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 63.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Eller
Kero
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Eller
Kero
Last 9: Eller 8-1 Kero
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Kero
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
4
0
Eller
Kero
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Kero
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Kero
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,321)
47.0% (668)
+4.1%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
42.9% (7)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (1,759)
31.9% (47)
+14.7%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kero shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,142).
Eller shoots left. Kero is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Eller
Kero
Home
51.4% (6,122)
49.1% (332)
Away
49.7% (6,607)
43.3% (390)
By Period
Eller
Kero
P1
51.2%
47.6%
P2
50.1%
48.8%
P3
50.2%
40.9%
OT
56.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Kero
62.0%▲
48.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 17:17 | Offensive | Tanner Kero |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 10:12 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 06:39 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 2 | 07:45 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 13:52 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 01:17 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 01:03 | Offensive | Lars Eller |