Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.0% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 85.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 73.5%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 61.2%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 77.3%
22.7%
77.3%
Eller
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Eller
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (742)
56.3% (739)
-3.5%
Power Play
67.6% (34)
58.6% (181)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (156)
47.2% (53)
-1.0%
On power play, Eller has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Eller is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Eller shoots left. Karlsson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Eller
Karlsson
Home
54.5% (448)
56.5% (462)
Away
50.2% (484)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Eller
Karlsson
P1
52.8%
57.1%
P2
50.9%
55.2%
P3
53.4%
56.7%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
52.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 2 | 07:55 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 2 | 02:02 | Neutral | Lars Eller |