Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs Nylander 47.2% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nylander 62.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 90.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 68.3%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 82.9%
82.9%
17.1%
Eller
Nylander
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Eller
Nylander
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Nylander
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nylander
0
1
Eller
Nylander
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
46.0% (50)
+7.8%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
33.3% (6)
+23.8%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
0.0% (3)
+52.6%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +52.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Eller is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Eller shoots left. Nylander is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (40).
Home / Away
Eller
Nylander
Home
56.4% (486)
40.6% (32)
Away
51.2% (537)
44.4% (27)
By Period
Eller
Nylander
P1
55.1%
50.0%
P2
55.3%
40.7%
P3
51.7%
35.7%
OT
27.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
53.7%
Nylander
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2023 | 2 | 15:06 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 19:59 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 04:20 | Neutral | William Nylander |