Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 50.6%). Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Smith 50.6% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 25-17 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 54.9%
Defensive zone
Smith 50.9%
Neutral zone
Smith 50.8%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Eller
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
25
(42 meetings)
17
25
Eller
Smith
Last 10: Eller 4-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
4
8
Eller
Smith
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
5
10
Eller
Smith
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
8
7
Eller
Smith
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,321)
51.6% (5,265)
-0.5%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
51.2% (342)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (1,759)
45.3% (985)
+1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,142).
Eller shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Eller
Smith
Home
51.4% (6,122)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
49.7% (6,607)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Eller
Smith
P1
51.2%
49.9%
P2
50.1%
50.0%
P3
50.2%
51.9%
OT
56.7%
51.6%
Final 5 min
49.7%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2019 | 2 | 15:42 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 16:30 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 3 | 10:46 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 02:55 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 3 | 04:02 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 3 | 01:19 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 2 | 11:39 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 3 | 16:53 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 3 | 05:05 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 2 | 13:37 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 4, 2014 | 3 | 07:19 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 4, 2014 | 3 | 01:09 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 17:10 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 3 | 00:14 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 2 | 00:56 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 3 | 17:22 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 3 | 13:29 | Defensive | Lars Eller |