Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Korpikoski on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Korpikoski wins 37.8% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Korpikoski 40.9% vs Koivu 51.8% (-13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Korpikoski 53.7%
Defensive zone
Koivu 87.5%
Neutral zone
Koivu 69.1%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 70.2%
29.8%
70.2%
Korpikoski
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Korpikoski
Koivu
Last 9: Korpikoski 5-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Korpikoski
Koivu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Korpikoski
2
1
Korpikoski
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Korpikoski
Koivu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Korpikoski
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (323)
51.9% (3,221)
-12.6%
Power Play
38.5% (52)
59.3% (437)
-20.8%
Penalty Kill
37.7% (61)
48.0% (764)
-10.3%
On power play, Koivu has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Korpikoski is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Korpikoski shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Korpikoski
Koivu
Home
39.7% (232)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
37.9% (206)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Korpikoski
Koivu
P1
35.5%
51.1%
P2
39.3%
52.6%
P3
43.5%
51.8%
OT
16.7%
52.3%
Final 5 min
36.5%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Korpikoski
40.0%▲
32.5%
38.8%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2012 | 1 | 03:14 | Offensive | Lauri Korpikoski |
| Oct 23, 2011 | 3 | 14:01 | Defensive | Lauri Korpikoski |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 3 | 16:50 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 5, 2010 | 3 | 03:18 | Neutral | Lauri Korpikoski |
| Dec 5, 2010 | 1 | 10:59 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 3 | 13:19 | Defensive | Lauri Korpikoski |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 3 | 06:39 | Neutral | Lauri Korpikoski |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 3 | 01:48 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 1 | 15:34 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |