Lawson Crouse vs Mason McTavish
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Crouse on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Crouse wins 37.5% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crouse 40.8% vs McTavish 48.7% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 53.4%
Defensive zone
McTavish 73.4%
Neutral zone
McTavish 72.9%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Crouse
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Crouse
McTavish
Last 5: Crouse 3-2 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crouse
3
0
Crouse
McTavish
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
2
Crouse
McTavish
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crouse
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (396)
48.2% (2,790)
-9.3%
Power Play
39.6% (48)
52.8% (436)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
39.3% (56)
34.3% (35)
+5.0%
On power play, McTavish has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Crouse is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Crouse shoots left. McTavish is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,158).
Home / Away
Crouse
McTavish
Home
40.4% (265)
49.8% (1,680)
Away
37.4% (235)
47.4% (1,581)
By Period
Crouse
McTavish
P1
44.1%
50.0%
P2
33.7%
47.7%
P3
37.0%
48.4%
Final 5 min
36.7%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crouse
32.0%▼
36.5%
39.0%
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 17:50 | Offensive | Lawson Crouse |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 08:43 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 18:00 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 13:52 | Offensive | Lawson Crouse |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:03 | Offensive | Lawson Crouse |