Elias Pettersson vs Leo Carlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 17 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.0% vs Carlsson 41.1% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Pettersson leads 26-8 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 92.6%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 80.8%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 77.9%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 86.2%
86.2%
13.8%
Pettersson
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
8
(34 meetings)
26
8
Pettersson
Carlsson
Last 10: Pettersson 6-4 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
14
3
Pettersson
Carlsson
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
9
2
Pettersson
Carlsson
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Pettersson
Carlsson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (4,613)
40.9% (1,878)
+4.4%
Power Play
54.5% (554)
42.9% (156)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (243)
34.7% (121)
+4.0%
On power play, Pettersson has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Pettersson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,640).
Pettersson shoots left. Carlsson is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,512).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Carlsson
Home
46.8% (2,757)
42.2% (1,051)
Away
45.2% (2,653)
39.2% (1,104)
By Period
Pettersson
Carlsson
P1
44.7%
43.3%
P2
46.1%
36.2%
P3
47.4%
43.3%
OT
39.7%
40.7%
Final 5 min
45.7%
39.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.0%
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 10:06 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 09:49 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 07:40 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 07:21 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 19:28 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 13:26 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 07:45 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 07:39 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 13:14 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 05:55 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 01:46 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3 | 10:56 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3 | 04:54 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 13:53 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 13:46 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 03:51 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |