Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Carlsson wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 44.6% vs Glendening 51.9% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 87.0%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 63.4%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 73.4%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Carlsson
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Carlsson
Glendening
Last 8: Carlsson 2-6 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
0
Carlsson
Glendening
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
5
Carlsson
Glendening
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
1
Carlsson
Glendening
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (695)
53.6% (420)
-8.6%
Power Play
46.4% (84)
100.0% (4)
-53.6%
Penalty Kill
32.9% (85)
47.3% (148)
-14.4%
On power play, Glendening has a +53.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Carlsson is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Carlsson shoots left. Glendening is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (413).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Glendening
Home
42.5% (435)
48.0% (256)
Away
45.5% (429)
55.7% (316)
By Period
Carlsson
Glendening
P1
45.3%
50.9%
P2
38.7%
51.7%
P3
48.5%
53.3%
OT
41.7%
83.3%
Final 5 min
38.4%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
44.0%
Glendening
56.0%▲
49.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 08:45 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 13:07 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 05:52 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 05:34 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 03:18 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 14:48 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |