Scouting Report
Leo Carlsson holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Poitras shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 44.6% vs Poitras 48.3% (+5.1%)
Offensive zone
Poitras 50.3%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 65.3%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 59.4%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Carlsson
Poitras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Poitras
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (695)
35.3% (17)
+9.7%
Power Play
46.4% (84)
100.0% (1)
-53.6%
On power play, Poitras has a +53.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poitras shoots right. Carlsson is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Carlsson shoots left. Poitras is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (15).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Poitras
Home
42.5% (435)
28.6% (7)
Away
45.5% (429)
45.5% (11)
By Period
Carlsson
Poitras
P1
45.3%
50.0%
P2
38.7%
33.3%
P3
48.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
38.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
44.0%
Poitras
42.0%▼
44.5%
38.9%