Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Carlsson wins 41.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 41.1% vs Zibanejad 50.0% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Carlsson 84.5%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 90.2%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 86.8%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 88.0%
88.0%
12.0%
Carlsson
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Carlsson
Zibanejad
Last 10: Carlsson 2-8 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
1
Carlsson
Zibanejad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
6
Carlsson
Zibanejad
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Carlsson
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (1,878)
50.9% (11,756)
-10.0%
Power Play
42.9% (156)
52.2% (1,852)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (121)
41.6% (1,796)
-6.9%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Carlsson is 41.7% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Carlsson shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,710).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Zibanejad
Home
42.2% (1,051)
51.6% (7,603)
Away
39.2% (1,104)
48.3% (7,802)
By Period
Carlsson
Zibanejad
P1
43.3%
50.4%
P2
36.2%
49.7%
P3
43.3%
49.9%
OT
40.7%
48.7%
Final 5 min
39.8%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
40.7%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 10:32 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 02:54 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:35 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:14 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 07:52 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 13:40 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 12:16 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 01:41 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 1 | 14:37 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |