Leo Carlsson vs Mikael Granlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Carlsson wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 41.1% vs Granlund 48.6% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 83.5%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 83.6%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 81.8%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 82.4%
82.4%
17.6%
Carlsson
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Carlsson
Granlund
Last 9: Carlsson 2-7 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carlsson
Granlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Carlsson
Granlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
5
Carlsson
Granlund
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (1,878)
48.6% (6,765)
-7.7%
Power Play
42.9% (156)
53.0% (760)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (121)
43.6% (635)
-8.9%
On power play, Granlund has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Carlsson is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,512).
Carlsson shoots left. Granlund is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,193).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Granlund
Home
42.2% (1,051)
51.0% (3,905)
Away
39.2% (1,104)
46.4% (4,255)
By Period
Carlsson
Granlund
P1
43.3%
48.8%
P2
36.2%
48.7%
P3
43.3%
48.5%
OT
40.7%
43.3%
Final 5 min
39.8%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
40.7%
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 07:26 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 03:19 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 19:38 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 08:05 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 17:35 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 3 | 07:23 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |