Leo Carlsson vs Nikita Alexandrov
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Leo Carlsson holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Alexandrov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 41.1% vs Alexandrov 41.1% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 51.3%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 60.4%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 53.2%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Carlsson
Alexandrov
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Carlsson
Alexandrov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
0
Carlsson
Alexandrov
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
0
Carlsson
Alexandrov
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Alexandrov
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (1,878)
37.6% (237)
+3.3%
Power Play
42.9% (156)
33.3% (3)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (121)
0.0% (1)
+34.7%
On penalty kill, Carlsson has a +34.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Alexandrov shoots left. Carlsson is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,512).
Carlsson shoots left. Alexandrov is 38.0% vs left-shot opponents (158).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Alexandrov
Home
42.2% (1,051)
41.7% (108)
Away
39.2% (1,104)
33.8% (133)
By Period
Carlsson
Alexandrov
P1
43.3%
45.7%
P2
36.2%
27.7%
P3
43.3%
35.7%
Final 5 min
39.8%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
40.7%
Alexandrov
40.0%▬
39.5%
37.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 15:50 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 08:14 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |