Scouting Report
Leo Carlsson holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 41.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dwyer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 41.1% vs Dwyer 38.5% (+5.4%)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 50.5%
Defensive zone
Dwyer 55.5%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 57.0%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Carlsson
Dwyer
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Dwyer
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (1,878)
36.1% (313)
+4.8%
Power Play
42.9% (156)
33.3% (15)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (121)
28.6% (28)
+6.1%
On power play, Carlsson has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dwyer shoots right. Carlsson is 41.7% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Carlsson shoots left. Dwyer is 35.7% vs left-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Dwyer
Home
42.2% (1,051)
36.8% (163)
Away
39.2% (1,104)
34.0% (194)
By Period
Carlsson
Dwyer
P1
43.3%
36.7%
P2
36.2%
30.8%
P3
43.3%
39.8%
OT
40.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
39.8%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
40.7%
Dwyer
30.0%▼
38.0%
35.3%