Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carlsson wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 44.6% vs Danault 54.5% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 61.6%
Defensive zone
Danault 70.2%
Neutral zone
Danault 52.5%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Carlsson
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Carlsson
Danault
Last 8: Carlsson 4-4 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
1
Carlsson
Danault
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
3
Carlsson
Danault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
0
Carlsson
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (695)
56.2% (745)
-11.2%
Power Play
46.4% (84)
45.1% (51)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
32.9% (85)
51.6% (124)
-18.7%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Carlsson is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Carlsson shoots left. Danault is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Danault
Home
42.5% (435)
56.7% (402)
Away
45.5% (429)
53.7% (518)
By Period
Carlsson
Danault
P1
45.3%
55.5%
P2
38.7%
54.2%
P3
48.5%
55.2%
OT
41.7%
55.6%
Final 5 min
38.4%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
44.0%
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 08:10 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 07:08 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 00:35 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 17:49 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 06:53 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:32 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 05:50 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 03:01 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |