Scouting Report
Pius Suter holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Carlsson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Carlsson wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 41.1% vs Suter 46.3% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Carlsson leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Suter 70.5%
Defensive zone
Suter 79.6%
Neutral zone
Suter 69.6%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 71.3%
28.7%
71.3%
Carlsson
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Carlsson
Suter
Last 10: Carlsson 7-3 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
1
Carlsson
Suter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
0
2
Carlsson
Suter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
6
2
Carlsson
Suter
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (1,878)
46.2% (3,223)
-5.3%
Power Play
42.9% (156)
53.0% (281)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (121)
40.1% (307)
-5.4%
On power play, Suter has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Carlsson is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,512).
Carlsson shoots left. Suter is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,405).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Suter
Home
42.2% (1,051)
46.7% (1,823)
Away
39.2% (1,104)
45.7% (1,988)
By Period
Carlsson
Suter
P1
43.3%
46.6%
P2
36.2%
46.0%
P3
43.3%
46.0%
OT
40.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
39.8%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
40.7%
Suter
40.0%▼
48.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:20 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 18:09 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 14:29 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 12:56 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 10:46 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 08:22 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 02:13 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3 | 13:27 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 00:52 | Neutral | Pius Suter |