Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Carlsson wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 41.1% vs Crosby 53.5% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 15-3 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Carlsson 90.1%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 86.2%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 89.5%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 88.4%
88.4%
11.6%
Carlsson
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
15
(18 meetings)
3
15
Carlsson
Crosby
Last 10: Carlsson 2-8 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
6
Carlsson
Crosby
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
5
Carlsson
Crosby
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
4
Carlsson
Crosby
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (1,878)
52.8% (18,031)
-11.9%
Power Play
42.9% (156)
57.4% (4,741)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (121)
47.0% (766)
-12.3%
On power play, Crosby has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Carlsson is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,512).
Carlsson shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,886).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Crosby
Home
42.2% (1,051)
55.0% (11,998)
Away
39.2% (1,104)
52.0% (11,559)
By Period
Carlsson
Crosby
P1
43.3%
53.6%
P2
36.2%
53.8%
P3
43.3%
53.3%
OT
40.7%
49.6%
Final 5 min
39.8%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
40.7%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:08 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:22 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:07 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:45 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 19:50 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 17:01 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 13:01 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 15:15 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 06:57 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 06:31 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 06:52 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 14:04 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 10:28 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 05:23 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 10:42 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |