Scouting Report
Teddy Blueger holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Carlsson wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 44.6% vs Blueger 47.4% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 78.6%
Defensive zone
Blueger 51.0%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 62.6%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Carlsson
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Carlsson
Blueger
Last 5: Carlsson 1-4 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
1
Carlsson
Blueger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
3
Carlsson
Blueger
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (690)
48.2% (253)
-3.3%
Power Play
47.0% (83)
66.7% (9)
-19.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (84)
34.7% (49)
-1.4%
On power play, Blueger has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Carlsson is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Carlsson shoots left. Blueger is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Blueger
Home
42.5% (428)
49.8% (215)
Away
45.5% (429)
39.6% (96)
By Period
Carlsson
Blueger
P1
45.1%
45.8%
P2
39.0%
50.4%
P3
48.5%
42.2%
OT
41.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
38.4%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
36.0%▼
38.5%
44.0%
Blueger
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 13:59 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 05:45 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 13:13 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 07:50 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 14:20 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |