Scouting Report
Teddy Blueger holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Carlsson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Carlsson wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 42.4% vs Blueger 50.2% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Carlsson leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Carlsson 55.6%
Defensive zone
Blueger 83.4%
Neutral zone
Blueger 67.9%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Carlsson
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Carlsson
Blueger
Last 10: Carlsson 5-5 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
4
0
Carlsson
Blueger
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
2
Carlsson
Blueger
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
3
Carlsson
Blueger
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (648)
53.3% (745)
-11.5%
Power Play
37.3% (51)
45.5% (11)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (31)
41.7% (259)
-3.0%
On even strength, Blueger has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Carlsson is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Carlsson shoots left. Blueger is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Blueger
Home
44.5% (362)
53.4% (504)
Away
38.3% (368)
47.2% (511)
By Period
Carlsson
Blueger
P1
46.3%
46.6%
P2
35.1%
53.0%
P3
43.9%
50.8%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
41.4%
Blueger
48.0%▬
47.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 17:16 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 14:01 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 10:31 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 06:59 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 2 | 15:12 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 2 | 09:33 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 2 | 06:24 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 2 | 01:05 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 17:54 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 13:51 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 18:36 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |