Scouting Report
Tommy Wingels holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 41.7% vs right-shot opponents — Wingels shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 41.1% vs Wingels 44.4% (-3.1%)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 51.1%
Defensive zone
Wingels 52.7%
Neutral zone
Wingels 50.2%
Result
Tommy Wingels favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Carlsson
Wingels
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Wingels
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (1,878)
44.2% (871)
-3.3%
Power Play
42.9% (156)
43.2% (74)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (121)
41.3% (109)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Wingels has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wingels shoots right. Carlsson is 41.7% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Carlsson shoots left. Wingels is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (744).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Wingels
Home
42.2% (1,051)
44.4% (462)
Away
39.2% (1,104)
43.4% (592)
By Period
Carlsson
Wingels
P1
43.3%
45.1%
P2
36.2%
40.9%
P3
43.3%
46.0%
OT
40.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
39.8%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
40.7%
Wingels
50.0%▼
51.5%
43.8%