Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Komarov wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Komarov 47.6% vs Couturier 52.6% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Komarov 56.3%
Defensive zone
Komarov 60.5%
Neutral zone
Komarov 66.3%
Result
Leo Komarov favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Komarov
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Komarov
Couturier
Last 10: Komarov 4-6 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Komarov
3
2
Komarov
Couturier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
4
Komarov
Couturier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Komarov
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (695)
52.4% (10,929)
-3.8%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
59.9% (1,276)
-22.4%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (417)
48.7% (1,777)
-3.1%
On power play, Couturier has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Komarov is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Komarov shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,821).
Home / Away
Komarov
Couturier
Home
49.2% (537)
53.4% (7,054)
Away
45.7% (591)
51.8% (6,935)
By Period
Komarov
Couturier
P1
47.6%
52.5%
P2
47.3%
52.5%
P3
47.5%
53.0%
OT
41.2%
49.6%
Final 5 min
49.6%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
47.3%
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2021 | 1 | 10:41 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 17:23 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 07:24 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 19:30 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 17:56 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 3 | 09:26 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 2 | 10:20 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 3 | 02:14 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 07:29 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 3 | 14:10 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |