Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Komarov 47.6% vs Stamkos 51.1% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 73.0%
Defensive zone
Komarov 68.4%
Neutral zone
Komarov 58.0%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Komarov
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Komarov
Stamkos
Last 10: Komarov 5-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Komarov
Stamkos
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Komarov
2
0
Komarov
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
3
Komarov
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Komarov
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (695)
50.5% (9,825)
-1.9%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
55.2% (1,729)
-17.7%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (417)
49.6% (827)
-4.0%
On power play, Stamkos has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Komarov is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (435).
Komarov shoots left. Stamkos is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,806).
Home / Away
Komarov
Stamkos
Home
49.2% (537)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
45.7% (591)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Komarov
Stamkos
P1
47.6%
49.2%
P2
47.3%
52.7%
P3
47.5%
50.9%
OT
41.2%
54.3%
Final 5 min
49.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
47.3%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 26, 2018 | 1 | 05:06 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 12, 2018 | 2 | 13:22 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 12:54 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 2 | 10:59 | Neutral | Leo Komarov |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 1 | 13:09 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 1 | 05:02 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 2 | 15:31 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 11:53 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |