Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Draisaitl wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 55.5% vs Beniers 49.2% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 55.5%
Defensive zone
Beniers 78.1%
Neutral zone
Beniers 58.4%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Draisaitl
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Draisaitl
Beniers
Last 7: Draisaitl 3-4 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
2
Draisaitl
Beniers
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
1
Draisaitl
Beniers
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
1
Draisaitl
Beniers
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (672)
48.8% (647)
+5.5%
Power Play
62.9% (186)
53.8% (26)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (35)
50.0% (32)
+4.3%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Draisaitl shoots left. Beniers is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (472).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Beniers
Home
54.4% (454)
52.7% (357)
Away
57.9% (439)
45.4% (348)
By Period
Draisaitl
Beniers
P1
55.2%
47.9%
P2
54.8%
51.9%
P3
57.9%
46.8%
OT
60.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.8%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
64.0%▲
54.0%
56.1%
Beniers
64.0%▲
51.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 05:25 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 17:49 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 15:13 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 16:18 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 06:24 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |