Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Draisaitl wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.4% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 64.0%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 78.2%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 58.9%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Draisaitl
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Draisaitl
Zibanejad
Last 8: Draisaitl 4-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Draisaitl
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
1
Draisaitl
Zibanejad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
2
Draisaitl
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (835)
53.3% (807)
+2.6%
Power Play
61.8% (228)
47.6% (42)
+14.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
46.3% (147)
+3.7%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Draisaitl shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Zibanejad
Home
55.1% (508)
49.8% (466)
Away
58.5% (595)
54.0% (530)
By Period
Draisaitl
Zibanejad
P1
55.8%
52.9%
P2
55.7%
51.2%
P3
59.0%
51.7%
OT
60.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 12:45 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 06:06 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 10:24 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 06:56 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 06:48 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 07:15 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |