Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Draisaitl wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.4% vs Bjugstad 49.5% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 69.9%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 86.5%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 62.6%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
Draisaitl
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Draisaitl
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Draisaitl
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (835)
49.7% (292)
+6.2%
Power Play
61.8% (228)
50.0% (6)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
47.2% (36)
+2.8%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Draisaitl shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Bjugstad
Home
55.1% (508)
48.7% (193)
Away
58.5% (595)
50.4% (141)
By Period
Draisaitl
Bjugstad
P1
55.8%
41.5%
P2
55.7%
57.3%
P3
59.0%
50.0%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 19:48 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 16:29 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |