Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Draisaitl wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.4% vs Foligno 49.9% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 52.6%
Defensive zone
Foligno 89.9%
Neutral zone
Foligno 69.9%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 79.9%
20.1%
79.9%
Draisaitl
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Draisaitl
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
2
Draisaitl
Foligno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Draisaitl
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (835)
49.5% (291)
+6.4%
Power Play
61.8% (228)
55.8% (43)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
47.2% (53)
+2.8%
On even strength, Draisaitl has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Draisaitl shoots left. Foligno is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Foligno
Home
55.1% (508)
48.9% (178)
Away
58.5% (595)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Draisaitl
Foligno
P1
55.8%
43.0%
P2
55.7%
55.9%
P3
59.0%
50.0%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 19:07 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 05:22 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 08:32 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 10:57 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |