Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Draisaitl wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.4% vs Paul 53.6% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 63.5%
Defensive zone
Paul 72.4%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 50.5%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 72.4%
27.6%
72.4%
Draisaitl
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Draisaitl
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Draisaitl
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (835)
53.7% (354)
+2.2%
Power Play
61.8% (228)
59.0% (61)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
52.9% (34)
-2.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Draisaitl shoots left. Paul is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Paul
Home
55.1% (508)
55.1% (216)
Away
58.5% (595)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Draisaitl
Paul
P1
55.8%
54.9%
P2
55.7%
54.5%
P3
59.0%
54.3%
OT
60.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.8%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 17:14 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 10:53 | Defensive | Nick Paul |