Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Draisaitl wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.4% vs Cates 45.5% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 81.0%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 59.6%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 72.7%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 72.7%
72.7%
27.3%
Draisaitl
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Draisaitl
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (835)
45.5% (756)
+10.4%
Power Play
61.8% (228)
42.1% (114)
+19.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
44.7% (47)
+5.3%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Draisaitl shoots left. Cates is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Cates
Home
55.1% (508)
46.2% (468)
Away
58.5% (595)
43.9% (449)
By Period
Draisaitl
Cates
P1
55.8%
46.0%
P2
55.7%
47.5%
P3
59.0%
42.1%
OT
60.0%
18.2%
Final 5 min
54.8%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 16:24 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |