Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Draisaitl wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.4% vs Zacha 51.8% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 80.7%
Defensive zone
Zacha 64.8%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 59.7%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Draisaitl
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Draisaitl
Zacha
Last 5: Draisaitl 3-2 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
1
Draisaitl
Zacha
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Draisaitl
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (835)
53.0% (700)
+2.9%
Power Play
61.8% (228)
54.1% (109)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
39.2% (74)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Draisaitl shoots left. Zacha is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (520).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Zacha
Home
55.1% (508)
51.6% (438)
Away
58.5% (595)
52.4% (445)
By Period
Draisaitl
Zacha
P1
55.8%
57.0%
P2
55.7%
48.9%
P3
59.0%
50.5%
OT
60.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
54.8%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 04:43 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 13:45 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:34 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |