Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Draisaitl wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 55.5% vs Thomas 52.0% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 71.6%
Defensive zone
Thomas 61.6%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 53.9%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Draisaitl
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Draisaitl
Thomas
Last 5: Draisaitl 3-2 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
1
Draisaitl
Thomas
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Draisaitl
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (672)
50.1% (539)
+4.2%
Power Play
62.9% (186)
64.0% (86)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (35)
54.0% (100)
+0.3%
On even strength, Draisaitl has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Draisaitl shoots left. Thomas is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Thomas
Home
54.4% (454)
52.0% (373)
Away
57.9% (439)
52.6% (352)
By Period
Draisaitl
Thomas
P1
55.2%
50.0%
P2
54.8%
55.3%
P3
57.9%
50.9%
OT
60.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
53.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
64.0%▲
54.0%
56.1%
Thomas
36.0%▼
50.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 09:13 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 04:58 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 18:30 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 04:30 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |