Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Draisaitl wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.4% vs Thomas 51.7% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 74.3%
Defensive zone
Thomas 54.6%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 55.5%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Draisaitl
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Draisaitl
Thomas
Last 5: Draisaitl 3-2 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
1
Draisaitl
Thomas
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Draisaitl
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (835)
50.2% (635)
+5.7%
Power Play
61.8% (228)
61.0% (100)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
53.4% (118)
-3.4%
On even strength, Draisaitl has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Draisaitl shoots left. Thomas is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (598).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Thomas
Home
55.1% (508)
52.0% (400)
Away
58.5% (595)
51.9% (453)
By Period
Draisaitl
Thomas
P1
55.8%
49.4%
P2
55.7%
55.2%
P3
59.0%
50.7%
OT
60.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.8%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Thomas
48.0%▲
45.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 09:13 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 04:58 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 18:30 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 04:30 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |