Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Draisaitl wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.4% vs Thomas 51.9% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 73.1%
Defensive zone
Thomas 63.4%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 52.6%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Draisaitl
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Draisaitl
Thomas
Last 5: Draisaitl 3-2 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
1
Draisaitl
Thomas
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Draisaitl
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (835)
50.3% (652)
+5.6%
Power Play
61.8% (228)
61.5% (104)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
54.2% (120)
-4.2%
On even strength, Draisaitl has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Draisaitl shoots left. Thomas is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Thomas
Home
55.1% (508)
52.0% (400)
Away
58.5% (595)
52.3% (476)
By Period
Draisaitl
Thomas
P1
55.8%
49.6%
P2
55.7%
55.4%
P3
59.0%
51.0%
OT
60.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.8%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 09:13 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 04:58 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 18:30 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 04:30 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |