Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 13 meetings). Draisaitl wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.3% vs Carrick 52.2% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 20-12 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 91.7%
Defensive zone
Carrick 66.2%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 68.0%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Draisaitl
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
12
(32 meetings)
20
12
Draisaitl
Carrick
Last 10: Draisaitl 7-3 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
13
0
Draisaitl
Carrick
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
2
9
Draisaitl
Carrick
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
5
3
Draisaitl
Carrick
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (10,240)
52.2% (2,544)
+0.7%
Power Play
55.7% (2,827)
61.3% (75)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (977)
50.8% (435)
+0.4%
On power play, Carrick has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,098).
Draisaitl shoots left. Carrick is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,211).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Carrick
Home
54.6% (7,049)
51.5% (1,477)
Away
52.0% (6,995)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Draisaitl
Carrick
P1
52.7%
51.8%
P2
53.6%
52.3%
P3
53.4%
52.6%
OT
57.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 19:12 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 17:29 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 15:01 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 03:52 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 12:21 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 3 | 09:11 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 3 | 09:03 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 3 | 07:15 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:29 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 1 | 18:40 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 1 | 15:45 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 1 | 12:12 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 00:36 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 06:25 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 02:45 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |